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Survey: Over half of CFOs hold negative economic outlook amid global uncertainty

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New CFO Alliance Pulse Survey reveals shifting priorities and strategic responses among financial leaders

April 18; 2025

In its latest Emerging & Midmarket CFO Quick Pulse Survey; The CFO Alliance polled over 9;000 financial executives to capture their outlook on the economic landscape and how it’s reshaping their strategies. The results highlight a climate of uncertainty; cautious recalibration; and emerging areas of focus for CFOs navigating market uncertainty.

Key findings include:

A foggy forecast on tariff policy

CFO Economic Outlook Survey Article

Confidence in near-term clarity around U.S. tariff strategy remains low. Nearly half of the survey respondents (48.5%) expect it will take at least six months to gain insight into new policy directions. Another 37.9% anticipate a wait of 12 months or more. Only 13.6% believe clarity will come within three months; revealing widespread skepticism and a wait-and-see approach among finance leaders.

Market volatility spurs diverse responses

CFOs are split on how they’re reacting to increased market volatility and global tension:

  • 28.8% report taking no immediate action.
  • 18.2% are adjusting pricing models; and another 18.2% are reevaluating vendor contracts and supplier relationships.
  • 13.6% are increasing cash reserves or shifting capital allocation.
  • 10.6% are pausing capital investments or expansion plans.
  • 9.1% are reassessing workforce-related strategies; including compensation.
  • A small fraction (1.5%) is accelerating nearshoring or reshoring efforts.

These diverse tactics reveal a blend of caution and strategic repositioning across sectors.

Budget forecasts under pressure

When asked how global economic sentiment and policy uncertainty affect their forecasts; a majority (55.4%) cited a “moderately negative” impact relative to their original budget. Another 18.5% reported a “significantly negative” impact. Only 4.6% noted any moderately positive effects; while 21.5% remained neutral.

New priorities emerge for finance leaders

In light of shifting economic dynamics; accounting and finance teams are rethinking where to focus their efforts.

Areas becoming higher priorities include:

  • Scenario planning & financial modelling (35.4%)
  • Liquidity & working capital management (29.2%)
  • Strategic sourcing and procurement (15.4%)
  • Cost optimization (13.8%)
  • Talent strategy & workplace planning (6.2%)

This shift in priorities reflects a move toward agility; risk mitigation; and strategic foresight in an increasingly complex environment.

Leadership and talent

Amid continued economic uncertainty; nearly 70% of respondents have not made changes to their 2025 talent strategy; as they are still in the evaluation phase. Meanwhile; 18.2% have already enacted hiring or compensation freezes in response to current conditions. As financial leaders navigate shifting trade policies and global market volatility; many are turning to peer collaboration for support—about 32% are engaging in small group forums focused on industry-specific challenges; while nearly 26% are participating in CFO roundtables centred on scenario planning and forecasting.

Final thoughts

The latest CFO Alliance Pulse Survey underscores a clear trend: uncertainty is reshaping the mindset and priorities of financial leaders across emerging and midmarket companies. While many CFOs remain cautious; holding off on immediate changes to talent strategy or awaiting clarity on tariff policy; they are far from passive. Instead; they are doubling down on financial modelling; liquidity management; and strategic scenario planning. Others are prioritising cost optimization; adjusting pricing models; and reevaluating vendor contracts and supplier relationships. The data points to a profession in transition; where adaptability; collaboration; and forward-thinking leadership are becoming not just valuable; but essential; for navigating what lies ahead in 2025 and beyond.

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